I am really intrigued by this headline! First, SEMI, and now, The Information Network, are making the forecast for China!! However, what has been India doing? Nothing!!
Massive investments in Mainland China are finally showing benefits as the ratio of ICs made in China versus those imported into China increased from 27 percent in 2015 to 29.1 percent in 2016, according to the annual update of The Information Network report entitled “Mainland China’s Semiconductor and Equipment Markets: A Complete Analysis of the Technical, Economic, and Political Issues.” Driving the growth of ICs made in China are a large number of fabs that are in construction and planning production over the next few years, said Robert Castellano, president, The Information Network.
Next, most of the advanced semiconductor packaging is done in China. There are over 150 foreign and domestic packaging companies based in China. Tied to the packaging industry is the need for back-end semiconductor equipment. With its robust IC program, China represents a strong growth area for advanced packages, used to house and protect the ICs. These advanced packages include 3D, TSV (through silicon vias), FOWLP (fan-out wafer level packaging) and flip chip.
According to The Information Network:
* Investments by the Chinese government and foreign semiconductor manufacturers have started having an impact on meeting China’s internal IC semiconductor needs.
* A surge in semiconductor growth in China merely means these same number of chips won’t be made elsewhere — a buying opportunity for semiconductor manufacturer stocks.
* Large equipment companies will benefit from new fabs built but will face increased pricing pressure from new semi manufacturers because their traditional customer base has changed.
* Smaller semiconductor equipment suppliers will benefit from a new customer base that had been traditionally buying from the same vendor.
* Rudolph Technology is an example that benefited last year, positioning itself with its product line and strategic focus on building a sales infrastructure in China.
According to SEMI, USA, China is projected to be the top spending region for fab equipment in 2019 and 2020. Of the 20 more fab projects, SEMI is tracking up to 16 potential 300mm fabs to be constructed or beginning to ramp up throughout the forecast, with the investment targeted for the memory and foundry sectors.
Is India even listening?